Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #9
Brown County Semi-State Rank #3
Crawford County Regional Rank #1
Crawford County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 11th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 2.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 42.6%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating St. Xavier Tiger Run Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Hills Conference Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 263 235 280 269 377 359 328 322 255
Team Adjusted Rating 235 280 269 377 359 328 322 255
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating St. Xavier Tiger Run Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Hills Conference Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
17  Kaitlyn Stewart 11 18:33 18:51 18:43 18:46 18:47 19:55 19:44 19:04 18:23 18:56
31  Savanna Liddle 12 19:02 19:15 19:18 19:09 19:28 20:10 19:54 19:21 19:05 18:54
158  Emerson Elliott 11 20:07 19:45 19:55 20:11 20:04 20:25 20:09 20:41 20:15 19:59
226  Hallie Mosier 12 20:28 20:33 20:01 20:24 20:12 20:30 20:20 20:34 22:57 20:25
249  Ginger Atzinger 11 20:33 22:05 20:14 20:42 20:33 20:45 21:01 20:42 20:41 20:24
329  Bella Barnes 9 20:52 20:39 20:43 20:42 20:53 21:05 21:15 20:47
494  Allie Main 11 21:25 21:08 21:23 21:29 21:19 21:42 21:25 21:11 21:23 21:28
619  Claudia Pearce 11 21:46 23:11 22:42 21:37 21:48 21:31 21:44 21:52
1,163  Lucy Jenks 9 23:02 23:25 23:09 22:53 22:40 23:18
Olivia Metzger 11 23:51 24:45 24:00 23:28 23:47
Mariana Maury 10 23:54 24:47 24:01 23:35 23:50




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.9% 11.4 328 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.1 6.7 8.5 9.8 10.7 10.8 9.6 9.4 8.4 6.3 4.9 3.7 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 3.0 121 0.3 19.7 65.1 11.2 3.0 0.6 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 34 97.8 2.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 22 98.2 1.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Stewart 100% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.3 3.1 3.8 4.7 5.5 6.5 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.1 5.7 4.6 4.1 3.9 3.2 3.0 2.5 100.0% 100.0%
Savanna Liddle 100.0% 33.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.9 2.8 3.3 90.0% 99.9%
Emerson Elliott 99.9% 120.3 0.0% 12.8%
Hallie Mosier 99.9% 145.0 0.0% 0.8%
Ginger Atzinger 99.9% 150.8 0.0% 0.3%
Bella Barnes 99.9% 170.0 0.0% 0.0%
Allie Main 99.9% 188.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Stewart 100% 4.0 0.5 5.3 25.7 18.7 27.6 14.1 4.8 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Savanna Liddle 100% 7.6 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.7 12.9 20.1 17.1 13.6 9.7 6.4 4.5 3.3 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emerson Elliott 100% 35.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.2 100.0%
Hallie Mosier 100% 48.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ginger Atzinger 100% 52.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Bella Barnes 100% 67.9 99.9%
Allie Main 100% 96.9 89.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Stewart 100% 1.0 97.4 2.6 0.1 100.0%
Savanna Liddle 100% 1.6 2.1 86.1 10.7 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Emerson Elliott 100% 6.7 1.7 8.9 13.4 15.5 14.8 15.1 11.8 8.5 4.9 2.7 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Hallie Mosier 100% 10.8 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 5.1 7.3 10.4 12.7 13.5 13.6 11.6 8.7 6.1 3.6 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ginger Atzinger 100% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.8 4.5 6.4 10.1 12.5 12.9 13.4 11.9 9.5 6.9 3.8 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Bella Barnes 100% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.3 4.1 6.9 9.2 13.0 14.5 14.4 11.4 8.2 5.4 3.4 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Allie Main 100% 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 4.0 6.0 7.3 8.9 9.1 10.0 9.7 8.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaitlyn Stewart 1.0 97.8 2.2
Savanna Liddle 1.5 2.2 97.3 0.4 0.1
Emerson Elliott 4.0 30.3 20.7 23.3 16.6 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.0
Hallie Mosier 6.5 1.8 6.1 10.1 18.3 26.4 20.9 12.0 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0
Ginger Atzinger 7.2 0.8 3.6 6.3 12.4 21.1 27.5 19.6 6.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bella Barnes 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 3.6 9.1 22.9 35.5 17.1 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
Allie Main 12.8 0.1 0.3 2.3 11.6 18.6 21.8 19.5 12.1 9.2 3.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0